Will Trump Oust Venezuela’s Maduro? What the Odds Say

Trump’s Military Build-up in the Caribbean

President Trump has significantly increased military presence in the Caribbean as part of his campaign against drug cartels. Venezuela, in particular, has been a key focus of this strategy.

Political Context Around Maduro

Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela’s president, has faced mounting opposition both domestically and internationally. The US has expressed strong disapproval of his leadership, citing corruption and human rights abuses.

Speculation on Trump’s Intentions

There has been widespread debate about whether Trump intends to use military force to remove Maduro from power. Various analysts and betting markets have attempted to evaluate the likelihood of such an intervention.

Odds and Predictions

Oddsmakers have offered mixed predictions regarding Trump’s chances of orchestrating Maduro’s ouster. These assessments reflect uncertainty about the US administration’s willingness to commit troops or escalate conflict in Venezuela.

"The military build-up sends a clear message," said one expert, "but translating that into direct action remains uncertain."

Regional and Global Implications

Any US intervention in Venezuela would have significant consequences for regional stability, international relations, and global drug policy enforcement. The complexities of the Venezuelan crisis make military action a risky strategy.

Trump’s enhanced military presence signals intent, but the actual chance of ousting Maduro remains uncertain, with odds reflecting geopolitical and operational challenges.

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Newsweek on MSN Newsweek on MSN — 2025-12-01

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